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정부의 금융정책및 경기 부양책이 현실적으로 유용한가?

NOD increases
지난 10월 이후 좀 완화되었던 NOD Filing 이 지난 12월 다시 레코드 갱신을 했습니다.
이것은 많은 홈 오너들이 새로운 모게지 프로그램에 희망을 걸었지만, 결과가 생각보다 희만적이지 못하자 다시 본래의 형편으로 돌아갔기 때문입니다. 어쩌면 이것은 정부의 경기부양책이 완전히 실패한것을 의으미합니다. 동시에 단순한 은행의 Loan Modification (좀 더 근본적인 Loan Mod 가 필요)
이 큰 의미가 없다는 것을 말합니다.

이에 대한 자세한 보고서를 위의 파일을 클릭함으로 보시기를 바랍니다.

NOTICES OF DEFAULT NEARLY DOUBLE

California State Senate Bill 1137 Fails to Reduce Foreclosures

Discovery Bay, CA, January 13, 2009 – ForeclosureRadar (www.foreclosureradar.com), the only

website that tracks every California foreclosure with daily auction updates, today issued its California

Foreclosure Report for December 2008 and year-end summary. Notices of Default have rebounded

from the stall caused by California State Senate Bill 1137, which temporarily slowed foreclosures by

imposing new requirements on lenders. With 42,421 filings in December, Notices of Default are back to

the record levels reached in the second quarter of 2008, nearly doubling the 21,557 Notices of Default

recorded in November. Notice of Trustee Sale filings were relatively flat month-over-month, however

Notices of Trustee Sale are filed an average 116 days after the Notice of Default so a rebound in the

coming months is likely.

California saw unprecedented foreclosure activity in 2008, with 249,940 properties sold at

trustee sale auction – representing $107.8 Billion in combined loan value. Of those properties 96.4%

went back to the lender after no bid was received from a third-party.

High-level findings for 2008 include:

o There were a total of 437,955 Notices of Default filed in 2008, an increase of 56 percent over the

279,821 Notices of Default filed in 2007.

o Notice of Trustee Sale filings increased 122.9 percent over 2007 rising from 157,273 filings in

2007 to 350,514 filings in 2008. Of the Notices of Trustee Sale filed in 2008, 16 percent remain

scheduled for sale at auction, 17 percent have been cancelled, and 66 percent were sold at

auction.

o Properties sold at auction increased by 158 percent by volume, and 179 percent by combined

loan value. Lenders took back a total of 241,093 properties, with a combined loan value of

$103.9 Billion.

o The amount lenders discounted properties at auction from the outstanding balance increased

from an average discount of 16.1 percent in January to 39.5 percent in December. In January

only 3 percent of properties taken to auction were deeply discounted (bidding started at a

discount of 50 percent or more from the loan balance). By December 40 percent of sales were

deeply discounted.

o The time between the filing of a Notice of Default, and a property being sold at auction on the

courthouse steps increased 19 days over the course of the year, to an average of 165 days in

December.

High-level findings for December include:

o Notices of Default increased 100 percent over Notices recorded for November, to a total of

42,421 default filings, a 24.7 percent increase over December 2007.

o Notices of Trustee Sale, which set the auction date, time and location, were flat from November

to December, with 27,497 filings. Notices of Trustee Sale for December represent a 29.8 percent

year-over-year increase, but are still 30 percent below the peak levels reached in July of 2008.

o Properties taken to sale at auction increased only slightly between November and December, to

16,298 sales, a 72.6 percent increase from the same time last year. Third party purchases at

trustee sale auction decreased 12.5 percent from November 2008, but were still 156 percent

above third party purchases in December 2007. Lenders took back nearly 95 percent of the

16,298 properties sold at auction, with a combined loan value of $8.95 Billion.

“The effort by the California State Legislature to reduce foreclosures has now clearly failed,”

says Sean O'Toole, founder of ForeclosureRadar. “While State Senate Bill 1137 was well intentioned,

forcing lenders to talk to homeowners won’t fix this problem.”

While a number of lenders have announced significant loan modification programs to reduce

payments to affordable levels, these plans fail to address the fact that the average foreclosure in

California now has $180,000 in negative equity. “Lowering payments may provide a temporary fix,”

adds O’Toole, “but lenders simply don’t have sufficient reserves to lower principal balances enough to

help homeowners in foreclosure escape the prison of debt their home now represents.”

In December, the average estimated value of a home sold at foreclosure auction was $283,624, with

an average total loan balance of $464,270. Of these, 60 percent had second mortgages for which little or

no equity remained to secure their interest in the property. By not foreclosing, second mortgage holders

often retain their ability to collect on loans even after their secured interest is wiped out by the

foreclosure of a first mortgage. This issue often impairs the ability of first mortgage lenders to modify

their loan sufficiently to help the homeowner, a simple fact that further curtails the effectiveness of

SB1137.

ForeclosureRadar December Report by County:

Rank

Change in

Rank County NOD NTS Sales

Population

Per Sale

% Change

Nov 2008

% Change

Dec 2007

1 0 Merced 531 407 289 854 -14% 34%

2 38 Colusa 2 14 24 896 380% 500%

3 -1 San Joaquin 1417 980 724 920 -12% 34%

4 4 Riverside 4985 3430 2102 929 22% 14%

5 13 San Benito 40 47 56 1,029 75% 81%

6 -3 Stanislaus 1091 832 490 1,050 -18% 27%

7 -2 Solano 788 600 388 1,090 -2% 53%

8 3 San Bernardino 4015 2453 1804 1,104 21% 37%

9 -2 Yuba 143 86 59 1,184 -5% 23%

10 -6 Madera 146 111 119 1,213 -14% 113%

11 1 Kern 1526 855 593 1,315 4% 49%

12 -6 Calaveras 1 0 34 1,344 -17% 1600%

13 -3 Contra Costa 1730 1264 754 1,365 -7% 43%

14 -5 Sacramento 2436 1675 994 1,394 -14% 4%

15 -1 Imperial 297 195 119 1,400 17% 138%

16 -1 Sutter 127 83 60 1,524 7% 71%

17 -4 Monterey 522 410 256 1,660 -12% 78%

18 -2 Sierra 1 0 2 1,751 0% ND

19 14 Amador 45 28 20 1,907 82% 122%

20 7 Lake 1 0 31 2,068 7% -24%

21 -2 Fresno 1153 680 412 2,183 -11% 38%

22 0 El Dorado 246 128 80 2,203 3% 82%

23 -2 Placer 519 281 143 2,213 -5% 30%

24 -7 Napa 124 70 55 2,444 -28% 139%

25 5 Nevada 104 58 38 2,633 15% 100%

26 -2 Sonoma 490 326 181 2,652 -14% 60%

27 2 Shasta 179 109 67 2,709 10% 52%

28 0 San Diego 3272 2205 1130 2,714 2% 3%

29 -3 Alameda 1481 970 542 2,770 -16% 46%

30 -10 Yolo 166 125 67 2,841 -27% 14%

31 -6 Tulare 527 262 146 2,881 -20% 57%

32 4 Butte 72 48 71 3,059 25% 129%

33 6 Plumas 1 0 6 3,574 20% 100%

34 -2 Ventura 746 449 228 3,585 -8% 4%

35 -4 Tuolumne 25 18 16 3,639 -16% 45%

36 -2 Santa Clara 1124 800 461 3,847 -9% 75%

37 1 Kings 109 67 37 3,993 3% 95%

38 3 Los Angeles 8529 5114 2553 4,013 10% 19%

39 -2 Santa Cruz 134 111 65 4,036 -3% 48%

40 4 Orange 2423 1497 716 4,291 14% 11%

41 -6 San Luis Obispo 170 110 59 4,462 -14% 51%

42 1 Santa Barbara 261 181 90 4,685 0% -8%

43 6 Glenn 17 6 6 4,775 50% 500%

44 2 Siskiyou 35 15 9 5,127 0% 200%

45 2 Del Norte 6 3 5 5,839 0% 25%

46 -1 San Mateo 292 177 116 6,242 -21% 81%

47 -5 Trinity 8 4 2 7,012 -33% 100%

48 2 Lassen 1 0 5 7,090 0% ND

49 2 Marin 114 66 32 7,917 14% 68%

50 -2 Mendocino 49 32 10 9,045 -23% 11%

51 1 Mariposa 1 0 2 9,108 -67% 0%

52 1 Modoc 1 0 1 9,836 0% -89%

53 3 Humboldt 25 13 11 12,048 10% 267%

54 -31 Mono 1 0 1 13,597 -83% -50%

55 0 Tehama 1 0 4 15,383 -82% -83%

56 1 Inyo 1 0 1 18,515 0% ND

57 -3 San Francisco 169 102 41 19,480 -37% 24%

Sign up to receive the California Foreclosure Report

CALIFORNIA FORECLOSURE REPORT METHODOLOGY

Rankings are based on population per foreclosure sale. NOD indicates the number of Notices of Default

that were filed at the county, and NTS indicates filed Notices of Trustee Sale. Sales indicates the

number of properties sold at foreclosure auction. Percentage changes are based on monthly Sales. The

data presented by ForeclosureRadar is based on county records and individual sales results from daily

foreclosure auctions throughout the state – not estimates or projections.

ABOUT FORECLOSURERADAR.COM

ForeclosureRadar is the only web site that tracks every foreclosure in California with daily updates on

all foreclosure auctions. ForeclosureRadar features unprecedented tools to search, manage, track and

analyze preforeclosure, foreclosure auction, short sale and bank owned real estate. The web site was

launched in May 2007 by Sean O’Toole, who spent 15 years building and launching software companies

before entering the foreclosure business in 2002 where he has successfully bought and sold more than

150 foreclosure properties. ForeclosureRadar is an indispensable resource for real estate agents, brokers,

investors, lenders, mortgage brokers, attorneys and other real estate professionals specializing in the

California real estate market.

Published Tuesday, January 13, 2009 7:31 PM by Joe Park
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Comments

Sunday, January 25, 2009 12:35 PM by Joe Park

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Sunday, January 25, 2009 12:36 PM by Joe Park

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